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2020 Vol.38, Issue 3

Article

Estimation of Willingness to Pay by Trans-Korean Railway Connection Using CVM

CVM을 활용한 남북 ‧ 대륙철도 연결에 따른 지불의사액 산정 연구

Jooyoung KIM1
,
Jangwon JIN2*
김 주영1
,
진 장원2*
1Professor, Department of Transportation Planning & Management, Korea National University of Transportation, Gyeonggi 16106, Korea
2Professor, Department of Transportation Planning & Management, Korea National University of Transportation, Gyeonggi 16106, Korea
1한국교통대학교 교통정책학과 교수
2한국교통대학교 교통정책학과 교수
* Corresponding Author
30 June 2020. pp. 167-175
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Abstract

Recent construction of Trans-Korean Railway result in travel time reduction and also production and employment increase during construction phase. Those direct benefits are estimable using existing development methodology. But indirect benefits such as community development and economy, social culture are hard to be quantified. Therefore, this study estimated the economic benefits in terms of regional economy, development, and socio-cultural aspects of the operation of Trans-Korean Railway by using CVM (Contingent Valuation Method). It surveyed 545 adults over 20 years old, and estimated willingness to pay on usage of Trans-Korean Railway. As a result, respondents were willing to pay 13,824 won per household in residence tax. Moreover, total annual economic benefit regional economic and social culture due to Trans-Korean Railway is estimated to be 291.9 billion won.

Keywords
contingent valuation method
double-bounded dichotomous choice
logistic regression model
trans-Korean railway
willingness to pay

최근 추진 중인 남북 ‧ 대륙철도는 건설 단계에서 생산 ‧ 고용이 증대되고, 운행단계에서 통행시간 단축으로 인한 직접적인 편익은 기존 방법을 통해 추정이 가능하다. 그러나 지역개발, 지역경제, 사회문화적인 간접적인 편익은 계량화하기 어려운 측면이 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 조건부가치측정법을 활용하여 남북 ‧ 대륙철도 운영으로 인한 지역 경제 ‧ 개발, 사회문화 측면의 경제적 편익을 추정하였다. 20대 이상 성인 545명을 대상으로 설문조사를 시행하여 남북 ‧ 대륙철도 시행에 대한 사용가치 즉, 지불의사금액(Willingness to Pay)을 추정하였다. 분석 결과, 가구당 13,824원을 주민세로 지불할 의사가 있는 것으로 분석되었고, 남북 ‧ 대륙철도로 인한 지역경제 ‧ 사회문화 측면의 연간 총 경제적 편익은 2,719억 원인 것으로 추정되었다.

키워드
조건부가치측정법
이중양분선택법
로지스틱회귀모형
남북 ‧ 대륙철도
지불의사금액
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Information
  • Publisher :Korean Society of Transportation
  • Publisher(Ko) :대한교통학회
  • Journal Title :Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
  • Journal Title(Ko) :대한교통학회지
  • Volume : 38
  • No :3
  • Pages :167-175
  • Received Date : 2019-12-30
  • Revised Date : 2020-02-03
  • Accepted Date : 2020-05-12
  • DOI :https://doi.org/10.7470/jkst.2020.38.3.167
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