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2023 Vol.41, Issue 7 Preview Page

Article

Analysis of Transit Ridership and Factors Affecting Willingness to Use PM as an Alternate Mode Under Pandemic Situation

팬데믹으로 인한 대중교통 수요분석과 대안 교통수단으로서 PM 선호도에 대한 영향요인분석

Minjeong KIM1
,
Hoe Kyoung KIM2*
김 민정1
,
김 회경2*
1Researcher, Urban Space Research Lab, Changwon Research Institute, Changwon 51500, Korea
2Professor, Department of Urban Engineering, Dong-A University, Busan 49315, Korea
1창원시정연구원 도시공간연구실 책임연구원
2동아대학교 도시공학과 교수
*Corresponding Author
31 December 2023. pp. 846-860
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Abstract

Since early 2020, the freedom of movement has been restricted due to the COVID-19 pandemic, which spreads through droplets. High population density, increase in the elderly population, and improved transportation system are underlying factors aggravating the damage of COVID-19, resulting in the significant reduction of public transportation demand, high dependence on passenger cars and the propagation of Personal Mobility device (PM). PM is a individual form of transportation mode that can play an important role in preventing the spread of COVID-19, but research efforts on this topic are insufficient. This study investigated the impact of COVID-19 on public transportation demand with transportation card data and identified important factors affecting the willingness to use PM as an alternative transportation mode with survey data collected from public transportation users in Busan Metropolitan City. As a result, the average daily number of public transportation trips and passengers decreased by 24.7% and 23.3%, respectively, compared to before the outbreak of COVID-19. Factors affecting the willingness to use PM were found to be sex, age, PM use experience, and the average slope by basic local government. The results of this study are expected to serve as a research opportunity to revitalize the transition of transportation modes attributable to personalization and diversification of transportation modes in the post-COVID-19 pandemic Era.

Keywords
big data analysis
binary logistic regression
COVID-19
personal mobility device
public transit

2020년 초부터 비말로 확산하는 코로나-19의 대유행으로 인해 이동의 자유가 제한받게 되었으며, 높은 인구밀도, 고령인구의 증가, 개선된 교통체계는 코로나-19의 피해와 확산을 가속하는 요인으로 작용하였다. 코로나-19의 확산으로 대중교통의 수요가 급감하고 승용차에 대한 의존과 개인형 이동 수단(Personal Mobility device, PM)의 보급이 확대되었다. PM은 비군집이면서 개인적인 형태의 이동 수단으로 코로나-19와 같은 팬데믹의 확산 방지에 중요한 역할을 기대할 수 있지만, 이와 관련한 연구는 충분하지 못한 상황이다. 본 연구는 부산광역시 교통카드 데이터를 활용하여 대중교통에 대한 코로나-19의 영향을 파악하고. 부산광역시 대중교통 이용자들을 대상으로 한 설문조사를 통해 팬데믹 상황의 대안 교통수단으로써 PM에 대한 이용 의사에 영향을 미치는 요인들을 도출하였다. 연구 결과, 코로나-19 발생 전과 비교해 하루평균 대중교통 통행 수와 통행자 수가 각각 24.7%와 23.3% 감소하였다. 대안 교통수단으로서 PM에 대한 이용 선호도에 영향을 미치는 요인은 성별, 연령, PM 이용 경험, 그리고 출발지의 경사인 것으로 나타났다. 따라서, 본 연구의 결과는 포스트 코로나 시대 교통수단의 개인화 그리고 다양화 등과 같은 이동 수단의 전환에 관한 연구가 활성화되는 계기가 될 것으로 기대된다.

키워드
빅 데이터 분석
이항 로지스틱 회귀분석
코로나-19
개인형 이동 수단
대중교통
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Information
  • Publisher :Korean Society of Transportation
  • Publisher(Ko) :대한교통학회
  • Journal Title :Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
  • Journal Title(Ko) :대한교통학회지
  • Volume : 41
  • No :7
  • Pages :846-860
  • Received Date : 2023-10-05
  • Revised Date : 2023-10-30
  • Accepted Date : 2023-12-19
  • DOI :https://doi.org/10.7470/jkst.2023.41.7.846
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